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2018年6月11日 星期一

Lest we forget the other 90%



Although the efficacy of intravenous thrombolysis to increase the chance of alive and independency among stroke patients has been proven with numerous evidences from randomized trials and meta-analyses, the safety and effectiveness of thrombolysis in the real world setting sometimes remains controversial.

According to the results of the multi-country INTERSTROKE study recently published in the Lancet, thrombolysis for infarct was neither associated with alive without severe disability (odds ratio [OR]: 0.90; 95% CI: 0.68-1.18) nor alive (OR: 0.85; 95% CI: 0.55-1.31). On the contrary, the authors concluded that “across all countries, irrespective of economic level, access to a stroke unit was associated with improved use of investigations and treatments, access to other rehabilitation services, and improved survival without severe dependency (OR: 1.29; 95% CI: 1.14–1.44), which was independent of patient casemix characteristics and other measures of care. Use of acute antiplatelet treatment was associated with improved survival (OR: 1.39; 95% CI: 1.12–1.72) irrespective of other patient and service characteristics.”

The authors did not discuss the lack of benefit for thrombolysis, in contrast to stroke unit care and antiplatelet treatment in the article. Of course, the INTERSTROKE study is an observational study. Although several patient-, hospital-, and health care system-level factors have been adjusted in the multivariate analysis, unmeasured confounders and selection bias may still exist and cause the different results from the ones in the RCTs. In this study, intravenous thrombolysis was given in 4% and 3% of patients in the upper-middle-income countries and low middle-income countries, compared to 20% of patients in the high income countries. It should be explained by the drug price, i.e., the thrombolytic agents (e.g. alteplase) is expansive and may equal one household income for several months in the low income countries.



My reflection is: thrombolysis should not be over-emphasized when we are trying to improve stroke care in the low income countries. The expensive thrombolytic agent or even the so-called “state-of-art” thrombectomy devices may largely consume the limited healthcare resources in low income countries. On the contrary, the use of antiplatelet treatment (e.g. aspirin) and the set-up of more stroke units may be more cost-effective. Besides, both of them do not have a narrow time window as thrombolysis does. Thus, more patients may get benefit.

Somebody has calculated the number needed to treat (NNT) and potential target population of thrombolysis, aspirin, and stroke unit care. The NNT was 16, 83, and 18, respectively. However, 10%, 40%, and 80% of stroke patients, respectively, can get benefit from those treatment.

However, if you attend any large international stroke conferences, the major focuses are still always thrombolysis and thrombectomy, rather than stroke unit care. Roughly, even in high-income country like Taiwan, 80-90% stroke patients cannot receive those high-tech treatment, mostly because they fail to arrive hospitals within the therapeutic time window.


Lest we forget them!